98-1: A Single Iowa County Prevented a Trump Shutout within the Caucuses

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Former President Donald J. Trump gained 98 of 99 counties within the Iowa caucuses on Monday, in response to preliminary outcomes published by the state Republican Party, demonstrating simply how broadly he swept the first-in-the-nation contest.

In counties giant and small, Mr. Trump racked up commanding leads throughout the state. In the one county he misplaced, it was by a single vote: Johnson County, the state’s bluest county and the house of Iowa Metropolis and the College of Iowa, went for former Gov. Nikki Haley of South Carolina.

Shut out from a single victory was Gov. Ron DeSantis of Florida, who had banked his candidacy on Iowa and put monumental effort into campaigning in rural, sparsely populated areas. He visited each considered one of Iowa’s 99 counties within the months earlier than the caucuses, a tour referred to as the “Full Grassley,” and was rewarded on Monday with second- and third-place finishes from Sioux Metropolis to Davenport.

Vivek Ramaswamy, the pro-Trump entrepreneur who dropped out on Monday after receiving simply 7 % of the vote in Iowa, had visited all 99 counties at least twice, a technique that didn’t ship the shock efficiency he had been brashly predicting for months.

Mr. Trump in distinction had put far much less effort into circuiting the state and indulging within the type of retail politics that Iowa campaigning is understood for. He additionally had surrogates do a lot of the campaigning for him till the ultimate week earlier than the caucuses.

After battling fiercely for second place within the race’s ultimate weeks, Ms. Haley completed third total in Iowa on Monday night time. Her lone brilliant spot, albeit narrowly, was Johnson County. In his 2020 re-election marketing campaign, Mr. Trump misplaced the county with simply 27 % of the vote, to over 70 % for Joseph R. Biden Jr.

Ms. Haley had been anticipated to do higher in additional populous city and suburban areas — very similar to Senator Marco Rubio of Florida, who eight years in the past gained vital margins within the counties of Des Moines, its suburbs and Iowa Metropolis, as he, too, got here in third place.

However turnout fell sharply throughout the state this yr, the bottom because the Republican caucuses in 2000, and concrete counties misplaced 1000’s of votes. Ultimately, Ms. Haley fell far quick in Iowa’s largest cities, shedding by broad margins to Mr. Trump — and typically behind Mr. DeSantis — within the counties that embody Des Moines, Cedar Rapids, Davenport and Sioux Metropolis.